The projection assumes that takeaway capacity and rig availability do not limit Vaca Muerta's growth. : One of the major shale plays globally, Argentina’s Vaca Muerta is projected to reach an output of one million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil by 2030, provided that takeaway capacity and rig availability do not limit its growth, research company Rystad Energy said in a press release Thursday. According to modeling by Rystad Energy, if production is “relatively unimpeded,” oil production could grow from 291,000 bpd in February 2023 to more than one million bpd in the second half of 2030.